Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.061250 1.277812 1.548311 1.919098 2.427709 3.122927e+00 4.187781
2025-02-16 0.732989 0.961235 1.285799 1.807042 2.681443 4.225264e+00 7.584354
2025-02-23 0.593338 0.824866 1.185809 1.840167 3.140849 6.077211e+00 15.727108
2025-03-02 0.513673 0.746931 1.138044 1.923167 3.745621 9.057895e+00 39.324777
2025-03-09 0.447972 0.672619 1.069856 1.931969 4.205662 1.261982e+01 110.135323
2025-03-16 0.390173 0.598782 0.981495 1.859930 4.412878 1.598899e+01 348.264905
2025-03-23 0.360001 0.566911 0.963621 1.939533 5.160597 2.493102e+01 16982.533676
2025-03-30 0.329831 0.529550 0.925546 1.954285 5.730244 3.683674e+01 NaN
2025-04-06 0.300231 0.488699 0.871507 1.906705 6.031309 5.017746e+01 NaN
2025-04-13 0.276281 0.455420 0.827484 1.872486 6.386378 7.137012e+01 NaN
2025-04-20 0.267124 0.449726 0.843593 2.025301 7.950639 1.793225e+02 NaN
2025-04-27 0.254551 0.435361 0.836651 2.104106 9.302079 4.932286e+02 NaN
2025-05-04 0.238119 0.411511 0.803721 2.086615 10.054960 1.344378e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 0.220826 0.384137 0.758029 2.008910 10.258803 3.486532e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 0.210824 0.371225 0.746824 2.058423 11.804160 5.926159e+06 NaN
2025-05-25 0.203622 0.363516 0.747697 2.158304 14.329883 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.193935 0.349287 0.728815 2.169228 15.976718 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.182117 0.329232 0.691192 2.084694 16.087965 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.176838 0.323441 0.692253 2.178282 19.674093 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.169763 0.312870 0.678181 2.195657 22.209651 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.161340 0.298496 0.651231 2.139673 23.009037 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.154003 0.286122 0.628680 2.099468 24.210966 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.152407 0.287105 0.645894 2.279391 33.984196 NaN NaN